There is no single answer for Fort Wayne — the readings conflict, and one can’t be read at all. Bank stress is the only elevated signal: bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line sits at 549.4 $mm as of 2026-03-31, a rank of 58th of 393 metros by count and 50th by rate, at an 11.83% rate. On the tenant side, store closures are quiet (1 closure, 0.5 per 100k jobs) and layoff notices (WARN) are quiet (0 notices, 0.0%). The securitized loans in special servicing reading is unavailable — the leg is blind, so its low numbers are an absence of measurement, not evidence of no distress. With 2 of 6 pairs disagreeing — bank hot against both quiet closure and quiet WARN legs — the story is lender stress without a visible tenant or employment cause, which the pair notes say to read as construction or a rate reset rather than vacancy. The remaining 3 pairs are unadjudicated because the securitized side is blind. Overall: real but narrowly sourced distress, concentrated in the bank book, with no corroborating property-level signal.
| Signal | Level | Rate | Rank by count | Rank by rate | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| store closures store closures per 100,000 jobs |
1 closures | 0.5 per 100k jobs | 258 of 392 | 299 of 392 | quiet trailing 365 days to today
|
| layoff notices (WARN) workers on layoff notices as a share of the metro's employment |
0 notices | 0% | 313 of 386 | 308 of 386 | quiet trailing 365 days to today
|
| bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line share of the CRE lent into this metro that sits at a lender over the blended-noncurrent line |
$549.4mm | 11.83% | 58 of 393 | 50 of 393 | elevated
allocated 2026-03-31
|
| securitized loans in special servicing share of the securitized balance read here that is in special servicing |
1 loan records | — | — | — | cannot be read
not measurable 2026-07-29
|
For Fort Wayne, IN, the elevated distress signal is bank_distressed_cre, with distressed lender CRE at $549.4mm and bank CRE at risk at the 90th percentile reaching 17.7%. The CMBS special servicing reading is unavailable: while $0.0mm in CMBS special servicing UPB is reported, the tape shows all 1 loans in special servicing carry no balance, meaning the 0.0% share of metro UPB reflects a data gap rather than an absence of distress. Other readings, such as the 19.4% bank allocation share, are present, but the overall signal is immaterial and not a convergence, with distressed bank assets at 0.
| Bank | Deposit share | CRE / Capital* | Room contributed | Noncurrent CRE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake City Bank IN | 25.8% | 209% total 294%
|
🔒 | 0.14% |
| Star Financial Bank IN | 35.3% | 139% total 222%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| First Merchants Bank IN | 5.3% | 183% total 243%
|
🔒 | 0.59% |
| The Farmers & Merchants State Bank OH | 11.0% | 231% total 374%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Crossroads Bank IN | 18.4% | 104% total 167%
|
🔒 | 4.00% |
| Union Savings Bank OH | 2.8% | 128% total 128%
|
🔒 | 0.21% |
| Greenway Bank OH | 42.0% | 169% total 212%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Farmers And Merchants Bank IN | 67.4% | 230% total 242%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| First Federal Savings Bank IN | 24.8% | 220% total 360%
|
🔒 | 1.43% |
| Community State Bank IN | 9.7% | 153% total 317%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Horizon Bank IN | 1.3% | 235% total 331%
|
🔒 | 0.26% |
| Centier Bank IN | 1.1% | 265% total 318%
|
🔒 | 1.52% |
| The State Bank And Trust Company OH | 2.7% | 225% total 307%
|
🔒 | 0.04% |
| Bank | Total CRE | CRE / Capital* | Noncurrent CRE | Early Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Financial Bank | $816M | 139% total 222%
|
0.00% | 🔒 |
Fort Wayne looks comfortably able to absorb its visible maturity load: with wall_to_room of 0.12 against $50.3mm maturing_bal across 5 maturing_loans, the metro ranks 191 of 275 (counting from the most strained), and 13 banks_qualifying against 4 banks_excluded_here suggests the room figure is not an exclusion artifact. Room_after_committed of $419.6mm still dwarfs the wall, and with committed_draws of $287.9mm pre-deducted from room_before_committed of $707.5mm, the pre-commitment ratio of wall_to_room_before_committed_draws of 0.07 reinforces that cushion; note the wall is CMBS maturing within 24 months only, so this is an upper bound on what local banks would need to absorb, and any broader whole-maturity-load capacity reading is unavailable here.
Over the trailing 365 days, Fort Wayne, IN shows 2 store closures, against 2 cre_bankruptcies, while warn_notices came in at 0 and jobs_affected at 0. Note that the bankruptcy figure is a state proxy rather than a metro-native count: each case is counted in its filing district and each SEC 8-K or news item in the filer's state, not where the property sits, and coverage widened to both court feeds on 2026-09-16, so counts before and after that date are not comparable. The jobs figure is also a floor, since notices stating no headcount are counted but contribute 0.