Bank Door — what the local bank sector could absorbSee it on every loan’s exit read →
$24M of CMBS matures here within two years.
The 10 regional and local banks that gather deposits here could write roughly
$46M more CRE before the 300% supervisory line, so the maturing balance is
0.52× that room.
The median metro sits at 0.28×.
Banks In Footprint
10 / 5 at the line
Counted — 10 regional & local CRE lenders
| Bank | Deposit share | CRE / Capital | Room contributed | Noncurrent CRE |
| State Bank Of De Kalb TX |
68.1% |
213% |
🔒 |
0.66% |
| Horatio State Bank AR |
16.4% |
135% |
🔒 |
0.10% |
| The First National Bank Of Hughes Springs TX |
3.0% |
175% |
🔒 |
1.91% |
| Diamond Bank AR |
8.5% |
294% |
🔒 |
0.10% |
| First Southern Bank AL |
0.2% |
212% |
🔒 |
0.73% |
| Commercial National Bank Of Texarkana TX |
100.0% |
447% |
🔒 |
0.00% |
| Texana Bank, National Association TX |
51.9% |
315% |
🔒 |
0.09% |
| Bodcaw Bank AR |
27.2% |
354% |
🔒 |
1.12% |
| Farmers Bank & Trust Company AR |
20.6% |
505% |
🔒 |
1.32% |
| First National Bank Texas TX |
0.1% |
371% |
🔒 |
0.17% |
Not counted — 7 banks with deposits here
These hold deposits in this metro but are left out of the capacity above, because for them deposit location stops indicating where they lend — or they do not lend CRE at all. Real money that could refinance here is deliberately not counted.
no CRE book — CRE under 100% of capital — not a CRE lender
Wells Fargo Bank, National Association SD · Regions Bank AL · Capital One, National Association VA
national — operates in more than 5 states, so deposits stop indicating where it lends
Cadence Bank MS · Bank Ozk AR · Simmons Bank AR · Woodforest National Bank TX
How to read this. It is not whether any particular loan can refinance — a borrower also reaches
national banks, life companies, agencies and debt funds. It is how much of this metro’s maturing volume the local
bank sector could absorb if it were the only door.
Banks are placed by deposit share (FDIC Summary of Deposits, June 2025) — a proxy for
where they lend, not a measurement; call reports carry no collateral geography. Room = 3× equity capital less CRE held
(SR 06-26), from Q4 2025 call reports, apportioned by that share.
Banks in more than 5 states, single-branch bookers and banks that do not lend CRE are excluded —
411 banks holding $299.3B of national capacity not counted here.
Local Lenders — banks headquartered here, worst CRE noncurrent firstUnlock each bank’s early-warning flag →
| Bank | Total CRE | CRE / Capital | Noncurrent CRE | Early Warning |
| Commercial National Bank Of Texarkana |
$94M |
447% |
0.00% |
🔒 |
| State Bank Of De Kalb |
$125M |
213% |
0.66% |
🔒 |
Banks are matched to their HQ metro (a proxy for footprint). Noncurrent CRE = CRE-balance-weighted blend of multifamily / nonresidential / construction noncurrent (distress already arrived).
Early Warning is a validated
leading signal — the bank’s 30-89 early-delinquency rank among all CRE lenders this quarter, which has predicted ~2.3× forward CRE distress. Per-bank flags are on a
plan.