Indianapolis carries $1.7 billion of CMBS across 93 loans, and the pressure point here is not the usual suspect. Multifamily is both the metro's largest book, at $583 million, and its most distressed, with 14.8% in special servicing or 60-plus days delinquent against a 7.9% national rate for the sector. That is a meaningful gap, and it sits in the part of the book with the most money on the line. The overall CMBS distress rate stands at 14.2%, with roughly $0.2 billion marked distressed.
The filed record, for its part, is easing: distress reads 14.3% as of July 2026, with the trend falling and a median DSCR of 1.64. The heaviest maturity load is still some way off — $529 million, or 32% of the book, comes due in 2031, and that vintage currently shows no distress. The nearer years are lighter, with about $0.3 billion maturing inside 24 months.
On the ground, the metro logged 41 distress events over the past year — 22 store closures and 19 layoff notices totaling 2,714 jobs. The labor backdrop remains firm, with unemployment at 3.3% as of August 2026, down 0.3 points year over year. For credit desks, the read is clear: watch the apartment book, where the distress is concentrated, and keep the 2031 wall in view even as the near-term record softens.
In Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, CRE distress is broadly elevated across all four measured feeds. Store closures are elevated (8 closures; 0.83 per 100,000 jobs) and WARN layoff notices total 18 (0.23% of the metro’s employment). Bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line stands at $6,280.6mm (25.56% of allocated metro CRE), and securitized loans in special servicing hit 7 rows (12.23% of the trust’s slice). All six paired readings agree on elevation, with no disagreements or quiet pairs. Notably, the store-closure leg is elevated by size rather than by rate — the metro ranks 49th of 392 by count but 280th by rate, meaning its stress signal is driven by market scale, not per-unit intensity.
| Signal | Level | Rate | Rank by count | Rank by rate | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| store closures store closures per 100,000 jobs |
8 closures | 0.83 per 100k jobs | 49 of 392 | 280 of 392 | elevated trailing 365 days to today
|
| layoff notices (WARN) workers on layoff notices as a share of the metro's employment |
18 notices | 0.23% | 39 of 386 | 104 of 386 | elevated trailing 365 days to today
|
| bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line share of the CRE lent into this metro that sits at a lender over the blended-noncurrent line |
$6.28bn | 25.56% | 9 of 393 | 13 of 393 | elevated
allocated 2026-03-31
|
| securitized loans in special servicing share of the securitized balance read here that is in special servicing |
7 loan records | 12.23% | 24 of 335 | 41 of 335 | elevated 2026-07-29
|
In Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN, the elevated distress signals are bank distressed CRE (with distressed lender CRE at $6.28bn and bank CRE at risk at the 90th percentile reading of 11.5%), CMBS special servicing (special servicing UPB of $201.0mm, representing 12.2% of metro UPB), and real-economy signals closures and warn (8 store closures and 18 WARN notices in the last year). The overall convergence score is 4, with distressed bank assets at 20.3 (billion) and bank CRE allocation share at 43.2%. The metric is deemed material, with total bank CRE at $24.58bn. Regarding readings that cannot be obtained: the specific dollar amount of total metro CMBS UPB is not provided, and the count of CMBS loans in special servicing is available (7) but is not a dollar-based distress signal. No other absence is noted; all key indicators cited above are directly readable from the data.
| Bank | Deposit share | CRE / Capital* | Room contributed | Noncurrent CRE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merchants Bank Of Indiana IN | 94.7% | 252% total 283%
|
🔒 | 2.96% |
| First Merchants Bank IN | 28.1% | 183% total 243%
|
🔒 | 0.59% |
| The National Bank Of Indianapolis IN | 93.6% | 195% total 330%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Star Financial Bank IN | 39.3% | 139% total 222%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Greenfield Banking Company IN | 100.0% | 159% total 274%
|
🔒 | 0.07% |
| First Financial Bank OH | 5.4% | 169% total 215%
|
🔒 | 0.91% |
| Home Bank Sb IN | 100.0% | 115% total 155%
|
🔒 | 1.09% |
| The North Salem State Bank IN | 85.0% | 146% total 309%
|
🔒 | 0.45% |
| Lake City Bank IN | 10.9% | 209% total 294%
|
🔒 | 0.14% |
| Citizens Bank IN | 100.0% | 202% total 270%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Horizon Bank IN | 13.1% | 235% total 331%
|
🔒 | 0.26% |
| First Farmers Bank & Trust Co. IN | 17.4% | 224% total 284%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Mutual Savings Bank IN | 100.0% | 171% total 293%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Citizens State Bank Of New Castle, Indiana IN | 23.7% | 108% total 222%
|
🔒 | 0.12% |
| Hendricks County Bank And Trust Company IN | 100.0% | 151% total 306%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Centier Bank IN | 7.4% | 265% total 318%
|
🔒 | 1.52% |
| Stock Yards Bank & Trust Company KY | 4.6% | 248% total 359%
|
🔒 | 0.20% |
| Union Savings Bank OH | 3.2% | 128% total 128%
|
🔒 | 0.21% |
| State Bank IN | 95.9% | 281% total 408%
|
🔒 | 0.18% |
| The Peoples State Bank IN | 23.2% | 207% total 268%
|
🔒 | 0.29% |
| Union Savings And Loan Association IN | 15.8% | 110% total 165%
|
🔒 | 1.67% |
| Cfbank, National Association OH | 13.7% | 279% total 362%
|
🔒 | 0.53% |
| Jackson County Bank IN | 10.9% | 275% total 410%
|
🔒 | 0.26% |
| Security Federal Savings Bank IN | 1.9% | 174% total 252%
|
🔒 | 0.03% |
| Northwest Bank PA | 0.0% | 109% total 145%
|
🔒 | 1.53% |
| The Farmers Bank, Frankfort, Indiana IN | 43.9% | 310% total 450%
|
🔒 | 0.40% |
| Community First Bank Of Indiana IN | 18.9% | 333% total 489%
|
🔒 | 0.13% |
| United Fidelity Bank, Fsb IN | 7.5% | 430% total 434%
|
🔒 | 0.06% |
| First Bank Richmond IN | 4.3% | 304% total 374%
|
🔒 | 2.72% |
| American Bank Of Freedom MO | 2.3% | 381% total 440%
|
🔒 | 1.30% |
| Cibm Bank IL | 1.4% | 319% total 421%
|
🔒 | 0.94% |
| Bank | Total CRE | CRE / Capital* | Noncurrent CRE | Early Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tri-County Bank & Trust Company | $116M | 148% total 411%
|
3.81% | 🔒 |
| Merchants Bank Of Indiana | $6.8B | 252% total 283%
|
2.96% | 🔒 |
| State Bank | $431M | 281% total 408%
|
0.18% | 🔒 |
| Hendricks County Bank And Trust Company | $74M | 151% total 306%
|
0.00% | 🔒 |
| Home Bank Sb | $88M | 115% total 155%
|
1.09% | 🔒 |
| First National Bank | $68M | 80% total 154%
|
0.59% | 🔒 |
| First Internet Bank Of Indiana | $1.5B | 292% total 318%
|
0.48% | 🔒 |
| The North Salem State Bank | $245M | 146% total 309%
|
0.45% | 🔒 |
Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN sits comfortably on the capacity question: with 31 banks qualifying and only 4 banks excluded here, the metro's maturing CMBS balance of $338.3mm across 26 maturing loans is small against $1.38bn of room after committed draws, giving a wall-to-room ratio of 0.24 — low given a distressed share of 14.2% and a light relative burden. The wall is CMBS-only, so this is an upper bound on what local banks would need to absorb, and the ratio is level with the median of 0.24, ranking 133 of 275 from the most strained; refinancing capacity looks adequate barring a heavy concentration of the $1.66bn CMBS UPB maturing in the same window.
Over the trailing 365 days, the on-the-ground reading for Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN shows 21 store closures, 19 warn notices, and 2,714 jobs affected — the latter a floor, since notices stating no headcount are counted but contribute 0 jobs. The 17 cre bankruptcies figure is a state proxy, not a metro-native count: a court case counts in its filing district and an SEC 8-K in the filer's state, and coverage widened to both court feeds on 2026-09-16, so counts before and after that date are not comparable.