Boston-Cambridge-Newton carries $5.9 billion of CMBS across 82 loans, and the securitized record here reads conspicuously calm. Mixed-Use is the metro's largest book at $2.7 billion and sits at 0.0% distressed, against a 5.4% national rate for the sector. Retail ($0.6 billion) and Multifamily ($0.2 billion) likewise show no distress, running below national marks of 2.6% and 7.9%. Office is the thinner exposure at $1.4 billion — a sector carrying 11.1% distress nationally — leaving the local book light where the national pain is heaviest.
The refinancing calendar is deferred rather than imminent. The heaviest maturity load lands in 2029 at $1.3 billion, followed by $1.1 billion in 2030 and $1.0 billion in 2028, with none of those cohorts currently showing distress. Among the 57 banks tracked in the metro, three are flagged distressed and another 11 sit in early-warning territory.
The divergence is on the ground. The metro logged 115 distress events over the past year — 54 store closures and 61 layoff notices — accounting for 4,842 jobs. That filed record stands apart from a CMBS book that, for now, shows no securitized distress across its largest sectors. Unemployment was 4.1% as of August 2026, down 0.3 point year over year, even as office-using employment of 731,636 slipped 1.6% over the same stretch.
Based on the four vetted feeds, Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH shows measurable distress, with three of the four legs elevated: store closures at 43 closures (1.79 per 100k jobs), layoff notices at 66 notices (0.2% of employment), and bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line at $10,326.4mm (11.78% of the lent book). The securitized tape is the quiet leg, with 2 rows in special servicing (3.32% of the balance read here). Of the six pairwise comparisons, three show both sides elevated and three show disagreement — the disagreements are structural, not severity: closures hot with the tape quiet reads as retail failing on buildings the tape does not hold; WARN hot with the tape quiet reads as employers cutting while the securitized book has not moved; and bank hot with the tape quiet reads as lenders stressed on a book the tape cannot see. No reading is unavailable; all four legs are measured or allocated, with the bank leg's allocation caveat noted (only 38.5% of those dollars sit at single-metro banks).
| Signal | Level | Rate | Rank by count | Rank by rate | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| store closures store closures per 100,000 jobs |
43 closures | 1.79 per 100k jobs | 10 of 392 | 192 of 392 | elevated trailing 365 days to today
|
| layoff notices (WARN) workers on layoff notices as a share of the metro's employment |
66 notices | 0.2% | 14 of 386 | 114 of 386 | elevated trailing 365 days to today
|
| bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line share of the CRE lent into this metro that sits at a lender over the blended-noncurrent line |
$10.33bn | 11.78% | 6 of 393 | 51 of 393 | elevated
allocated 2026-03-31
|
| securitized loans in special servicing share of the securitized balance read here that is in special servicing |
2 loan records | 3.32% | 66 of 335 | 82 of 335 | quiet 2026-07-29
|
| Bank | Deposit share | CRE / Capital* | Room contributed | Noncurrent CRE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Bank MA | 91.3% | 253% total 302%
|
🔒 | 0.72% |
| Institution For Savings In Newburyport And Its Vicinity MA | 100.0% | 128% total 150%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Middlesex Savings Bank MA | 90.7% | 196% total 224%
|
🔒 | 0.39% |
| Northern Bank & Trust Company MA | 100.0% | 181% total 236%
|
🔒 | 0.22% |
| Rockland Trust Company MA | 74.2% | 276% total 351%
|
🔒 | 0.66% |
| Salem Five Cents Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 251% total 295%
|
🔒 | 0.47% |
| Leader Bank, National Association MA | 100.0% | 229% total 250%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Mutualone Bank MA | 100.0% | 136% total 176%
|
🔒 | 8.60% |
| Avidia Bank MA | 70.6% | 137% total 200%
|
🔒 | 0.83% |
| Main Street Bank MA | 87.1% | 153% total 213%
|
🔒 | 2.88% |
| Trunorth Bank MA | 100.0% | 260% total 314%
|
🔒 | 0.40% |
| Dedham Institution For Savings MA | 100.0% | 252% total 279%
|
🔒 | 2.46% |
| North Easton Savings Bank MA | 48.3% | 162% total 222%
|
🔒 | 2.57% |
| Coastal Heritage Bank MA | 100.0% | 176% total 244%
|
🔒 | 0.83% |
| The Village Bank MA | 100.0% | 233% total 271%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| The Bank Of Canton MA | 100.0% | 190% total 217%
|
🔒 | 1.79% |
| Haverhill Bank MA | 100.0% | 131% total 207%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Salem Co-Operative Bank NH | 100.0% | 140% total 196%
|
🔒 | 0.31% |
| Pentucket Bank MA | 100.0% | 226% total 314%
|
🔒 | 1.23% |
| East Cambridge Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 260% total 303%
|
🔒 | 0.01% |
| The Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 223% total 241%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Webster Bank, National Association CT | 1.8% | 256% total 287%
|
🔒 | 0.84% |
| The Cooperative Bank MA | 100.0% | 193% total 289%
|
🔒 | 0.12% |
| Marblehead Bank MA | 100.0% | 101% total 132%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| South Shore Bank MA | 100.0% | 279% total 352%
|
🔒 | 0.09% |
| Dean Co-Operative Bank MA | 67.1% | 126% total 164%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Winter Hill Bank, Fsb MA | 100.0% | 188% total 199%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Bankgloucester MA | 100.0% | 167% total 323%
|
🔒 | 7.60% |
| Safra National Bank Of New York NY | 1.5% | 102% total 102%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Bluestone Bank MA | 61.5% | 269% total 326%
|
🔒 | 2.01% |
| Stonehambank, A Co-Operative Bank MA | 100.0% | 267% total 363%
|
🔒 | 0.67% |
| Charles River Bank MA | 82.0% | 177% total 320%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Mountainone Bank MA | 33.4% | 259% total 322%
|
🔒 | 1.12% |
| Washington Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 227% total 245%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Profile Bank NH | 57.3% | 185% total 236%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Reading Co-Operative Bank MA | 100.0% | 281% total 350%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Meredith Village Savings Bank NH | 4.7% | 108% total 177%
|
🔒 | 0.05% |
| Partners Bank Of New England ME | 11.8% | 214% total 267%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Newburyport Five Cents Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 294% total 392%
|
🔒 | 2.53% |
| Bangor Savings Bank ME | 2.1% | 243% total 307%
|
🔒 | 0.51% |
| Unibank For Savings MA | 1.3% | 136% total 161%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Fidelity Co-Operative Bank MA | 15.3% | 278% total 326%
|
🔒 | 5.32% |
| Primary Bank NH | 7.2% | 253% total 380%
|
🔒 | 1.49% |
| The Camden National Bank ME | 1.0% | 261% total 325%
|
🔒 | 0.25% |
| Merrimack County Savings Bank NH | 0.4% | 155% total 227%
|
🔒 | 1.15% |
| Cambridge Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 339% total 361%
|
🔒 | 2.24% |
| Everett Co-Operative Bank MA | 100.0% | 463% total 495%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Onelocal Bank MA | 100.0% | 320% total 372%
|
🔒 | 0.24% |
| Middlesex Federal Savings, F.a. MA | 100.0% | 366% total 447%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Winchester Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 390% total 425%
|
🔒 | 0.27% |
| Needham Bank MA | 98.7% | 314% total 412%
|
🔒 | 0.03% |
| The Lowell Five Cent Savings Bank MA | 96.1% | 331% total 388%
|
🔒 | 1.24% |
| Eagle Bank MA | 92.4% | 330% total 430%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Bank Of New England NH | 91.6% | 447% total 501%
|
🔒 | 1.78% |
| Hingham Institution For Savings MA | 83.7% | 525% total 552%
|
🔒 | 1.03% |
| Beacon Bank And Trust MA | 40.9% | 336% total 412%
|
🔒 | 0.82% |
| Kennebunk Savings Bank ME | 20.1% | 424% total 531%
|
🔒 | 0.08% |
| Rollstone Bank & Trust MA | 16.4% | 341% total 422%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Northeast Community Bank NY | 11.9% | 501% total 501%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Mechanics Cooperative Bank MA | 8.8% | 314% total 388%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Bank Of New Hampshire NH | 7.3% | 354% total 437%
|
🔒 | 0.81% |
| Oneunited Bank MA | 3.8% | 609% total 611%
|
🔒 | 0.38% |
| Baycoast Bank MA | 3.2% | 303% total 460%
|
🔒 | 2.15% |
| Bank | Total CRE | CRE / Capital* | Noncurrent CRE | Early Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bankgloucester | $117M | 167% total 323%
|
7.60% | 🔒 |
| State Street Bank And Trust Company | $2.3B | 11% total 11%
|
12.78% | 🔒 |
| Mutualone Bank | $463M | 136% total 176%
|
8.60% | 🔒 |
| Newburyport Five Cents Savings Bank | $674M | 294% total 392%
|
2.53% | 🔒 |
| Cambridge Savings Bank | $2.8B | 339% total 361%
|
2.24% | 🔒 |
| The Bank Of Canton | $266M | 190% total 217%
|
1.79% | 🔒 |
| Beacon Bank And Trust | $9.6B | 336% total 412%
|
0.82% | 🔒 |
| Northern Bank & Trust Company | $1.2B | 181% total 236%
|
0.22% | 🔒 |
| REIT | SS NOI | SS Revenue | Occupancy | Rent | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVB | — | +0.7% | 95.7% | +1.4% | 2026-07-30 |
| EQR | -0.9% | +1.5% | 95.8% | +1.4% | 2026-04-28 |
| UDR | +1.4% | +2.1% | 96.7% | +2.3% | 2026-07-27 |
Over the trailing 365 days, the Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH metro recorded 60 warn notices and 50 store closures, with 4,718 jobs affected—a figure that is a floor, since notices stating no headcount are counted but contribute zero jobs. CRE-likely bankruptcies stand at 8, though this is a state proxy rather than a metro-native count: cases are attributed to the filing district and SEC 8-Ks to the filer's state, not to where the property sits, and coverage widened on 2026-09-16 so counts before and after that date are not comparable.