Baton Rouge runs a compact $819 million CMBS book across 36 loans, and the distress reading in the filed record has been rising — 7.7% as of July 2026. That is the number to watch here, because the metro's largest exposure looks calm underneath it: retail is the biggest sector at $444 million and sits at 0.0% distressed, against a 2.7% national rate. The current cushion is real, but it is not the whole story.
The pressure point is timing. The heaviest maturity load lands in 2027, when $301 million — 37% of the entire book — comes due. That concentration is what makes the rising trend worth respecting rather than dismissing, even with median DSCR at a healthy 1.72. A book that has to refinance a large slug in a single year has less room to absorb a soft patch.
On the ground, the signal is quiet so far: two store closures over the past year and no reported layoff notices, with metro unemployment at 4.1% in July 2026. For now the distress is showing up in the servicer record more than on the street — a divergence worth tracking as the 2027 wall approaches.
For Baton Rouge, LA, the distress picture is mixed and depends heavily on which lens you use. Two of the four core feeds show clear elevation: bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line sits at 479.1 $mm (a 6.08% rate, ranking 65th by count), and securitized loans in special servicing shows 6 rows (7.64% of the securitized balance read here, ranking 28th by count). The other two are quiet: store closures registered only 2 closures (0.6 per 100k jobs), and layoff notices (WARN) show 0 notices (0.0% of employment). The broader verdict is that lender-side stress outpaces visible tenant or employment distress — 4 of 6 paired legs disagree, pointing to bank and CMBS pressure without a corresponding wave of retail or workforce failures. This reads less like a vacancy-driven story and more like balance-sheet strain, possibly tied to construction or rate resets rather than operating fundamentals.
| Signal | Level | Rate | Rank by count | Rank by rate | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| store closures store closures per 100,000 jobs |
2 closures | 0.6 per 100k jobs | 179 of 392 | 295 of 392 | quiet trailing 365 days to today
|
| layoff notices (WARN) workers on layoff notices as a share of the metro's employment |
0 notices | 0% | 313 of 386 | 308 of 386 | quiet trailing 365 days to today
|
| bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line share of the CRE lent into this metro that sits at a lender over the blended-noncurrent line |
$479.1mm | 6.08% | 65 of 393 | 124 of 393 | elevated
allocated 2026-03-31
|
| securitized loans in special servicing share of the securitized balance read here that is in special servicing |
6 loan records | 7.64% | 28 of 335 | 58 of 335 | elevated 2026-07-29
|
In Baton Rouge, LA, the elevated distress signals are bank distressed CRE and CMBS special servicing. Specifically, bank distressed CRE stands at $479.1mm, with bank CRE at risk at the 90th percentile ( 19.2% ), while CMBS special servicing UPB is $68.0mm ( 7.6% of metro UPB). The reading on other signals is unavailable: there is no stated figure for store closures, WARN notices, or overall market fundamentals, so those cannot be read from the provided data.
| Bank | Deposit share | CRE / Capital* | Room contributed | Noncurrent CRE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hancock Whitney Bank MS | 14.1% | 146% total 229%
|
🔒 | 0.26% |
| Investar Bank, National Association LA | 45.8% | 204% total 317%
|
🔒 | 0.84% |
| B1bank LA | 27.6% | 241% total 352%
|
🔒 | 0.84% |
| Red River Bank LA | 20.0% | 155% total 249%
|
🔒 | 0.01% |
| Bank Of Zachary LA | 100.0% | 177% total 277%
|
🔒 | 0.12% |
| Cottonport Bank LA | 41.7% | 118% total 217%
|
🔒 | 0.79% |
| First National Banker's Bank LA | 30.1% | 189% total 233%
|
🔒 | 1.00% |
| Landmark Bank LA | 100.0% | 103% total 249%
|
🔒 | 2.56% |
| First American Bank And Trust LA | 12.5% | 105% total 159%
|
🔒 | 1.10% |
| Synergy Bank LA | 26.2% | 206% total 316%
|
🔒 | 1.99% |
| Bank Of St. Francisville LA | 100.0% | 214% total 366%
|
🔒 | 0.36% |
| Feliciana Bank & Trust Company LA | 100.0% | 141% total 237%
|
🔒 | 0.89% |
| Gulf Coast Bank And Trust Company LA | 5.4% | 175% total 253%
|
🔒 | 0.67% |
| First Guaranty Bank LA | 12.7% | 235% total 325%
|
🔒 | 2.88% |
| Currency Bank LA | 49.6% | 167% total 258%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Citizens Bank & Trust Company LA | 100.0% | 272% total 372%
|
🔒 | 0.69% |
| Home Bank, National Association LA | 3.5% | 208% total 377%
|
🔒 | 0.96% |
| Bankplus MS | 2.1% | 235% total 371%
|
🔒 | 0.63% |
| South Louisiana Bank LA | 2.0% | 111% total 183%
|
🔒 | 0.46% |
| United Community Bank LA | 40.9% | 290% total 372%
|
🔒 | 0.76% |
| Concordia Bank & Trust Company LA | 2.8% | 131% total 305%
|
🔒 | 3.69% |
| The First National Bank Of Jeanerette LA | 7.5% | 238% total 387%
|
🔒 | 0.09% |
| United Mississippi Bank MS | 4.4% | 178% total 310%
|
🔒 | 0.04% |
| Bonvenu Bank, National Association LA | 0.7% | 274% total 387%
|
🔒 | 0.06% |
| First National Bank Of Louisiana LA | 0.2% | 184% total 307%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Louisiana National Bank LA | 14.8% | 370% total 545%
|
🔒 | 2.07% |
| Resource Bank LA | 1.7% | 347% total 443%
|
🔒 | 0.05% |
| Bank | Total CRE | CRE / Capital* | Noncurrent CRE | Early Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaranty Bank And Trust Company | $79M | 97% total 168%
|
3.66% | 🔒 |
| Feliciana Bank & Trust Company | $50M | 141% total 237%
|
0.89% | 🔒 |
| Citizens Bank & Trust Company | $223M | 272% total 372%
|
0.69% | 🔒 |
| Bank Of Zachary | $150M | 177% total 277%
|
0.12% | 🔒 |
| Currency Bank | $84M | 167% total 258%
|
0.00% | 🔒 |
| Landmark Bank | $66M | 103% total 249%
|
2.56% | 🔒 |
| First National Banker's Bank | $398M | 189% total 233%
|
1.00% | 🔒 |
| B1bank | $3.6B | 241% total 352%
|
0.84% | 🔒 |
For Baton Rouge, LA, the wall-to-room ratio is 0.30, which is ABOVE the median of 0.20, indicating this metro is more strained than the typical ranked metro — placing it at 117 of 270 ranked metros (counting from the MOST strained). Local banks have $1.27bn in room after committed draws against a $375.4mm maturing CMBS wall, so the capacity reading is slack (well under 1.0). However, this ratio is an upper bound: the wall is CMBS-only, not the full maturity load, and deposit footprint is only a proxy for lending footprint. With 27 banks qualifying and 5 excluded (nationals/charter banks that don't report local deposits), the reading isn't an exclusion artifact, but the 8.3% distressed share and 8 maturing loans suggest some individual credit risk. Overall, local banks appear to have room to absorb this wall, though capacity is a proxy, not a certainty.
On the ground in Baton Rouge, LA over the past 365 days, activity has been minimal but not absent. There were 2 store closures recorded, while 0 commercial-real-estate bankruptcies and 0 WARN layoff notices were filed. As a result, 0 jobs were affected by those layoff notices — though that figure is a floor, since notices with no stated headcount are counted but contribute 0 jobs. Notably, the bankruptcy count uses a state proxy, so it is not a metro-native tally, and the closure figure only includes approved, ZIP-matched rows. Unavailable: any broader commercial-real-estate market reading (e.g., vacancies or leasing) is not provided in this dataset.