Verstavo
Start free trial
← All markets · The national picture →

Commercial Real Estate Credit —
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

The state of disclosed CRE credit in this market · GA
The read
$4.6B of CMBS across 266 loans. Retail is the largest book ($1.2B) but runs below its national distress rate (0.3% vs 2.7%); the elevated risk is in Office (14.6%). Distress is rising in the filed record — 3.6% as of 2026-07. The heaviest maturity load lands in 2029 ($1.3B, 27% of the book). 109 on-the-ground distress events in the past year (9,964 jobs).
Overview
CMBS
Submarkets
Local Banks
Jobs & Demand
On The Ground
Loading map…
The CMBS properties our stress model flags here, plus recent store closures and layoffs. Stressed is a wider net than distressed — the distressed figure above counts only loans already in special servicing or 60+ days delinquent, while these dots also include performing loans facing maturity or coverage pressure. Property dots sit at the center of their ZIP code, not the building — they show where stress concentrates, not which asset. Closures and layoffs are pinned to address where we have it. Open any dot to the building and the loan behind it →
Retail carries the book, but the risk sits in Office

Atlanta's CMBS book runs to $4.6 billion across 266 loans, and the largest slice of it is the one giving underwriters the least trouble. Retail, at $1.2 billion, is the biggest sector on the page, yet it carries a distress rate of just 0.3% — a fraction of the 2.7% national retail mark. The strain is elsewhere. Office, a smaller $0.6 billion book, is running distressed at 14.6%, above the 11.3% national office rate. That is the familiar shape of this cycle: the concentration of dollars and the concentration of trouble are not in the same place.

Metro-wide distress stands at 3.6% as of July 2026, and the filed record has been rising. That level sits below several sectors' national benchmarks — hospitality at 3.7% against 6.1%, multifamily at 5.0% against 7.6% — and the median DSCR of 1.74 gives the book room. The heaviest refinancing test lands in 2029, when $1.3 billion, 27% of the book, comes due; the 2028 stack of $1.0 billion is already carrying a 4.8% distress rate. Only $0.8 billion matures inside the next 24 months.

On the ground, the past year brought 101 distress events — 39 store closures and 62 layoff notices touching 9,964 jobs — against a metro unemployment rate of 3.2%, down 0.2 point year over year. Among the 21 banks with local exposure, one is distressed and five sit on early-warning footing. The read here is a book that is broadly holding, with the pressure narrowly drawn: Office, and the 2028–2029 maturity window.

CMBS Distressed UPB
$168M / 3.6% in special servicing or 60+ days delinquent
CMBS Maturing ≤ 24mo
$757M
Local Banks (stressed)
1 / 21
Bank Early-Warning
5 flagged
Store Closures (1y)
47
Layoff Notices (1y)
62 / 9,964 jobs 0.39% of metro employment
CMBS Loans / UPB
266 / $4.6B
Unemployment · Jul 2026
3.2% -0.2pp yr

How much CRE distress is there in Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA right now?

For Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA, commercial real estate distress is elevated across all four independent feeds, with all 6 of 6 possible pairings agreeing on heightened stress. Store closures number 44 over the trailing year, ranking 9th of 392 metros by count but only 197th by rate at 1.74 closures per 100,000 jobs—a reading that is elevated by the metro's size rather than by per-unit stress. Layoff notices (WARN) total 70, ranking 12th of 386 by count and 68th by rate at 0.31% of metro employment. Bank CRE over the noncurrent line sits at $3,477.3 million, ranking 16th of 393 by count and 95th by rate at 7.83%, though this figure is allocated by branch deposits and cannot be fully confirmed. Securitized loans in special servicing number 11 rows, ranking 16th of 335 by count and 76th by rate at 4.2% of the securitized balance read here. The single size-driven caveat applies only to the closures leg; all three other legs show genuine rate-based elevation alongside strong count rankings. No pairs disagree, and none are unadjudicated due to blindness—so the distress signal is broad-based and mutually reinforcing across tenant operations, employer headcount, bank balance sheets, and securitized trust paper.

The figures behind this answer
SignalLevel Rate Rank by count Rank by rate Reading
store closures
store closures per 100,000 jobs
44 closures 1.74 per 100k jobs 9 of 392 197 of 392 elevated
trailing 365 days to today
layoff notices (WARN)
workers on layoff notices as a share of the metro's employment
70 notices 0.31% 12 of 386 68 of 386 elevated
trailing 365 days to today
bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line
share of the CRE lent into this metro that sits at a lender over the blended-noncurrent line
$3.48bn 7.83% 16 of 393 95 of 393 elevated
allocated
2026-03-31
securitized loans in special servicing
share of the securitized balance read here that is in special servicing
11 loan records 4.2% 16 of 335 76 of 335 elevated
2026-07-29
6 pairs compared 6 both elevated 0 both quiet 0 disagreeing 0 unreadable — a side is blind 4 of four legs elevated
one metro, four independent feeds, each on its own denominator
{'coverage': "114 of 441 metros have at least one blind leg and 48 are blind on all four. Those 48 are the same metros the board's map cannot place and the metro resolver cannot name: one ZIP-to-CBSA crosswalk boundary, showing up three ways.", 'a_count_ranks_by_size': 'Elevation is computed on the COUNT, over a flat threshold, which is a size filter. New York is 2nd of 392 by store closures and 264th of the same 392 by closures per job — both true, and which one you lead with decides what the reader believes. Every leg carries both ranks over ONE population; quote the rate beside the count.', 'disagreement_is_not_severity': 'Where two legs disagree, that is usually a fact about WHICH mechanism is running, not an error in either feed and not a worse metro. The six pairs read different populations, and each note is a STRUCTURAL prior about those populations — nothing here measures a lead or a lag between two legs, so never report one as timing.', 'a_blind_leg_is_not_a_quiet_one': "A leg with no denominator, or whose numerator cannot be measured, reads LOW and means nothing. Each leg publishes a measurement state (allocated, floor, measured, no denominator, no rate, not measurable) for that reason. Never report a blind leg as 'no distress'."}
{'fork': 'elevated by size, not by rate', 'note': 'store closures clear a flat count threshold while sitting below the median of their own rate ranking. Any reading that leans on them is a statement about how big this metro is.'}
{'leg': 'closures', 'unit': 'jobs', 'as_of': 'trailing 365 days to today', 'value': 2530649, 'measures': 'store closures', 'available': True, 'as_of_kind': 'window', 'what_it_is': "all metro jobs, QCEW annual average — a SIZE normaliser, not a matched population: the feed spans retail, food service and pharmacy and no single QCEW sector covers it. The MATCHED read sits beside it as this leg's second reading"}
{'leg': 'warn', 'unit': 'employed', 'as_of': 'trailing 365 days to today', 'value': 3252603, 'measures': 'layoff notices (WARN)', 'available': True, 'as_of_kind': 'window', 'what_it_is': 'employed persons, BLS LAUS, not seasonally adjusted'}
{'leg': 'bank', 'unit': '$mm', 'as_of': '2026-03-31', 'value': 44436.6, 'measures': 'bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line', 'available': True, 'as_of_kind': 'stamp', 'what_it_is': 'bank CRE allocated to this metro by branch deposits'}
{'leg': 'cmbs', 'unit': '$mm', 'as_of': '2026-07-29', 'value': 4551.0, 'measures': 'securitized loans in special servicing', 'available': True, 'as_of_kind': 'stamp', 'what_it_is': "current balance on the non-pari-passu rows of this tape — the trust's slice, not the whole loan, on both sides of the ratio"}
Written from the figures above · CBSA 12060 · stress_metro · last changed 28 Aug 2026 · Ask your own question →

Which distress signals are elevated in Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA, and which cannot be read?

In Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA, the elevated distress signals are bank distressed CRE exposure, CMBS special servicing, store closures, and WARN notices. Specifically, bank CRE at the 90th percentile is 27.1%, with bank CRE 7.7% allocated to distressed lender exposure totaling $3.48bn, while CMBS special servicing UPB is $191.0mm (a 4.2% share of metro UPB). Additionally, there are 44 store closures and 70 WARN notices over the past year. The reading for distressed banks (count: 0 and assets $0.00bn) is unavailable as a distress signal since none are present, and the analyst should note that no elevated bank-level default figure is cited here beyond the at-risk percentage.

The figures behind this answer
CMBS in special servicing
$191.0mm
… as a share of this metro's CMBS balance
4.2%
Bank CRE lent into this metro
$44.44bn
… at risk at the 90th percentile
27.1%
CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line
$3.48bn
Assets at those lenders
$0.00bn
… share needing no branch-deposit allocation
7.7%
Signals reading elevated
bank CRE over the noncurrent line, CMBS in special servicing, store closures, WARN layoff notices
Legs agreeing
4
Phase
peak
CMBS loans in special servicing
11
Distressed banks
0
Store closures (past year)
44
WARN notices (past year)
70
leading (real-economy) and realized (credit) signals are firing together
tens of millions of distressed CRE exposure
credit distress AND ground-level distress, with real dollars behind the credit side
Written from the figures above · CBSA 12060 · geo_metro_signals · last changed 27 Aug 2026 · Ask your own question →
Jobs & Demand — the labor market under the collateralWatch it change →
Every other zone on this page reads the credit — what the loan is doing. This one reads the demand underneath it. Office jobs pay office rent; office rent services the office loan. When the jobs go, the DSCR follows — but not for another year or two. That lag is the whole point of looking here.
Unemployment · Jul 2026
3.2% -0.2pp yr
Last 24 months
2.8%3.8%
Monthly metro unemployment (BLS LAUS) — the freshest labor signal there is, about six weeks behind. Read the direction, not the level: a 4% metro that is rising and a 6% metro that is falling are not telling you the same thing.
Jobs by CRE-relevant sector · 2024
Retail trade
293,427 jobs · -0.4% yr
Annual employment by sector (BLS QCEW, 2024; 2,530,649 jobs in the metro). QCEW lags — it is the structural read, not the current one, and we pair it with the monthly unemployment above on purpose. Office-using sums five supersectors; where BLS withholds any one of them for disclosure, we show nothing rather than a number we know is too low — so a missing sector here means “suppressed at the source,” not “zero.”
Sector Heat — CMBS distress rate by property type (metro vs national)See the loans behind the bar →
This metro's CMBS runs 3.6% distressed where its own property mix predicts 5.4% — $80M less than this book would carry at the rate each property type runs elsewhere in the country, dollar-weighted and excluding this metro. The gap is measured; the cause is not. 1 of 7 property types here run a higher distress rate than the national average for that type (the tick on each bar).
Office
14.6% metro · 11.3% US · $609M
Multifamily
5.0% metro · 7.6% US · $750M
Hospitality
3.7% metro · 6.1% US · $879M
Industrial
0.8% metro · 2.7% US · $619M
Retail
0.3% metro · 2.7% US · $1.2B
Mixed-Use
0.0% metro · 5.0% US · $324M
Self-Storage
0.0% metro · 0.1% US · $202M
Elimination — does the gap survive a control?
Each row re-prices this metro's book on a finer cell — its own property types, then those types split by loan size, then by vintage — always at the rate that cell runs elsewhere in the country, dollar-weighted. A gap that shrinks toward zero is explained by the control; one that stays has ruled it out. What is measured is what survives, not a cause.
property mix alone
-1.8pp
… and loan size held fixed
-1.4pp
the gap is still there with loan size held fixed too
… and vintage held fixed
-2.0pp
the gap is still there with vintage held fixed too
The largest single contributor is Retail: 87 loans, $1.2B, running 0.3% where the same type runs 2.7% elsewhere — worth 0.7pp of this metro's own rate.
Maturity Wall — CMBS coming due by year, distress within eachSee what’s maturing →
$757M — 16% of the metro's balance — matures within two years; the red slice of each bar is already distressed.
2026
$125M · 4 loans · 0.0%
2027
$251M · 31 loans · 0.0%
2028
$1.0B · 63 loans · 4.8%
2029
$1.3B · 74 loans · 3.8%
2030
$521M · 28 loans · 12.5%
2031
$946M · 39 loans · 0.0%
2032
$153M · 9 loans · 0.0%
2033
$144M · 7 loans · 0.0%
2034
$164M · 8 loans · 3.1%
2035
$5M · 1 loan · 0.0%
2036
$1M · 1 loan · 0.0%
2041
$34M · 1 loan · 0.0%
Distress Trend — is this market turning?Track it quarter by quarter →
Realized distress is RISING3.6% now (2026-07), +2.5pp over the year.
Same definition as the cards above — distressed means in special servicing or 60+ days delinquent, dollar-weighted — on a different clock. The cards are today’s tape; this is the disclosed history panel, quarter by quarter, so you can read direction rather than level. Trusts file monthly, so a quarter is usually well covered within weeks of opening and the newest one shown is normally the current one; it is withheld only when its filed book falls below 60% of recent quarters.
Share of the metro’s CMBS in special servicing or 60+ days delinquent, by quarter — a firmer, backward-looking read. A loan under 1.0x DSCR that is still paying is not counted here.
Submarket Heat — where in the metro the distress sitsOpen the submarket →
The top three submarkets hold $1.9B of the metro's $4.6B; each bar's colored share is its distress rate.
Cumberland / Galleria (Marietta)
$694M · 8.0%
Henry / Fayette (McDonough / Newnan)
$634M · 0.0%
Airport / South Atlanta (College Park / Jonesboro)
$543M · 2.1%
Northeast / Gwinnett (Duluth / Lawrenceville)
$542M · 0.6%
Downtown Atlanta
$442M · 14.8%
Buckhead
$296M · 3.3%
Decatur / Tucker
$246M · 0.0%
Midtown Atlanta
$228M · 0.0%
Central Perimeter (Dunwoody / Sandy Springs)
$206M · 5.6%
Monroe / Madison
$179M · 0.0%
Northwest I-75 (Cartersville / Woodstock)
$167M · 0.0%
Conyers / Covington
$157M · 0.0%
West Atlanta (Douglasville / Carrollton)
$139M · 0.0%
North Fulton (Alpharetta / Roswell)
$138M · 8.0%
Jackson / Zebulon
$8M · 0.0%
Dahlonega / Dawsonville
$7M · 0.0%
Bank Door — what the local bank sector could absorbSee it on every loan’s exit read →
$757M of CMBS matures here within two years. The 33 regional and local banks that gather deposits here could write roughly $1.7B more CRE before the 300% supervisory line, so the maturing balance is 0.44× that room. The median metro sits at 0.12×.
Regional Bank Room
$1.7B
After Committed Draws
$654M / −61%
Maturing ÷ Room
0.44×
Banks In Footprint
33 / 7 at the line
The room above is already part-sold. Construction lending is a promise drawn down over two or three years, and the undrawn part is an obligation the bank cannot decline while the borrower performs — every one of those dollars lands in the same CRE book the 300% line governs. These banks have $1.7B of construction committed and not yet advanced, of which $1.0B comes out of the room above, leaving $654M, with 15 banks whose entire remaining room is spoken for. A bank with no room contributes zero here, never a negative one — capacity does not net across balance sheets — so $644M of what has been promised is not deducted at all, because there is nothing left to deduct it from. On today’s capital that is funding already contracted which would cross the line as it draws. SR 06-26 draws a second line at 100% of capital for construction and land: 7 of 33 are past it on drawn balances alone, and 12 more cross it once their own commitments fund. 2% of the room above sits at banks we could not match to a commitment filing; they are left out of this deduction rather than assumed to have promised nothing.
Counted — 33 regional & local CRE lenders
BankDeposit shareCRE / Capital*Room contributedNoncurrent CRE
Ameris Bank GA 38.6% 263%
total 319%
🔒 0.12%
United Bank GA 66.5% 124%
total 172%
🔒 0.10%
Citizens Trust Bank GA 85.9% 110%
total 177%
🔒 1.62%
Affinity Bank, National Association GA 100.0% 220%
total 360%
🔒 0.46%
Community Bank Of Pickens County GA 100.0% 211%
total 399%
🔒 2.42%
The Citizens Bank Of Georgia GA 100.0% 200%
total 292%
🔒 0.00%
Coastal States Bank SC 36.8% 238%
total 331%
🔒 1.53%
Bank Of Madison GA 100.0% 207%
total 277%
🔒 0.03%
First National Bank Of Griffin GA 100.0% 196%
total 258%
🔒 0.00%
Southern First Bank SC 12.8% 236%
total 397%
🔒 0.23%
Vallant Bank GA 24.3% 264%
total 397%
🔒 0.71%
Shinhan Bank America NY 31.0% 257%
total 382%
🔒 0.88%
American Commerce Bank, National Association GA 89.3% 257%
total 369%
🔒 3.03%
Georgia Banking Company GA 100.0% 290%
total 370%
🔒 0.04%
Hometrust Bank NC 7.8% 235%
total 324%
🔒 0.68%
New Millennium Bank NJ 9.8% 168%
total 294%
🔒 0.08%
First National Community Bank GA 20.9% 225%
total 384%
🔒 0.51%
Banksouth GA 15.2% 247%
total 303%
🔒 0.54%
Promiseone Bank GA 75.9% 284%
total 364%
🔒 1.01%
Capital City Bank FL 1.0% 122%
total 193%
🔒 0.40%
First Peoples Bank GA 14.9% 205%
total 321%
🔒 0.00%
Colony Bank GA 8.1% 278%
total 392%
🔒 0.49%
Oconee State Bank GA 12.8% 248%
total 482%
🔒 3.83%
First American Bank And Trust Company GA 23.6% 293%
total 391%
🔒 0.00%
Farmers And Merchants Bank GA 9.5% 285%
total 389%
🔒 1.54%
Fieldpoint Private Bank & Trust CT 0.7% 257%
total 330%
🔒 1.66%
Hyperion Bank PA 43.2% 348%
total 363%
🔒 0.91%
American Pride Bank GA 11.8% 431%
total 502%
🔒 0.00%
Wallis Bank TX 9.9% 419%
total 676%
🔒 1.67%
Central Bank FL 8.5% 398%
total 588%
🔒 0.06%
First Carolina Bank NC 3.7% 448%
total 515%
🔒 1.07%
Paragon Bank TN 1.8% 321%
total 423%
🔒 0.23%
Pcb Bank CA 0.2% 304%
total 471%
🔒 0.13%
Not counted — 38 banks with deposits here
These hold deposits in this metro but are left out of the capacity above, because for them deposit location stops indicating where they lend — or they do not lend CRE at all. Real money that could refinance here is deliberately not counted.
no CRE book — CRE under 100% of capital — not a CRE lender
Truist Bank NC · Bank Of America, National Association NC · Wells Fargo Bank, National Association SD · Jpmorgan Chase Bank, National Association OH · Rbc Bank, (Georgia) National Association GA · Regions Bank AL · Pnc Bank, National Association DE · Fifth Third Bank, National Association OH · Cibc National Trust Company GA · First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company NC · The Northern Trust Company IL · Tib National Association TX · Beal Bank Usa NV · Fsnb, National Association OK · Bny Mellon, National Association PA · Wilmington Trust, National Association DE
national — operates in more than 5 states, so deposits stop indicating where it lends
Metro City Bank GA · United Community Bank SC · Bank Ozk AR · First Horizon Bank TN · Pinnacle Bank TN · East West Bank CA · Renasant Bank MS · City National Bank CA · Southstate Bank, National Association FL · Woori America Bank NY · Bank Of Hope CA · Woodforest National Bank TX · United Bank VA · Servisfirst Bank AL · Hanmi Bank CA
booked here — books nearly all deposits to one branch — a charter address, not a footprint
Peoples Bank & Trust GA · Craft Bank GA · Bank Of Monticello GA · Loyal Trust Bank GA · Legacy State Bank GA · Embassy National Bank GA · Touchmark National Bank GA
* Two ratios, two perimeters. The large figure is supervisory CRE over total risk-based capital — construction, multifamily and non-owner-occupied nonfarm nonresidential. That is the book SR 06-26 draws its 300% line against, and it is what the red coloring and the room contributed are both measured on. Total beneath it adds owner-occupied CRE — lending to a business on its own premises — which the guidance deliberately leaves out. A bank can sit well above 300% on total CRE and still be inside the line, with real room to lend; both are shown so the gap is visible rather than surprising.
How to read this. It is not whether any particular loan can refinance — a borrower also reaches national banks, life companies, agencies and debt funds. It is how much of this metro’s maturing volume the local bank sector could absorb if it were the only door. Banks are placed by deposit share (FDIC Summary of Deposits, June 2025) — a proxy for where they lend, not a measurement; call reports carry no collateral geography. Room = 3× total risk-based capital less CRE held (SR 06-26, the capital base the rule names — not book equity), from Q2 2026 call reports, apportioned by that share. Committed construction comes from FFIEC Schedule RC-L as filed at 2026-06-30 — the undrawn half of loans already written, which the balance sheet above does not show. Banks in more than 5 states, single-branch bookers and banks that do not lend CRE are excluded — 313 banks holding $268.2B of national capacity not counted here.
Local Lenders — banks headquartered here, worst CRE noncurrent firstUnlock each bank’s early-warning flag →
BankTotal CRECRE / Capital*Noncurrent CREEarly Warning
American Commerce Bank, National Association $332M 257%
total 369%
3.03% 🔒
Community Bank Of Pickens County $366M 211%
total 399%
2.42% 🔒
Touchmark National Bank $283M 387%
total 510%
2.26% 🔒
Citizens Trust Bank $197M 110%
total 177%
1.62% 🔒
Promiseone Bank $332M 284%
total 364%
1.01% 🔒
Metro City Bank $1.5B 148%
total 288%
0.47% 🔒
Craft Bank $150M 218%
total 330%
0.98% 🔒
Affinity Bank, National Association $406M 220%
total 360%
0.46% 🔒
* Two ratios, two perimeters. The large figure is supervisory CRE over total risk-based capital — construction, multifamily and non-owner-occupied nonfarm nonresidential. That is the book SR 06-26 draws its 300% line against, and it is what the red coloring and the room contributed are both measured on. Total beneath it adds owner-occupied CRE — lending to a business on its own premises — which the guidance deliberately leaves out. A bank can sit well above 300% on total CRE and still be inside the line, with real room to lend; both are shown so the gap is visible rather than surprising.
Banks are matched to their HQ metro (a proxy for footprint). Noncurrent CRE = CRE-balance-weighted blend of multifamily / nonresidential / construction noncurrent (distress already arrived). Early Warning is a validated leading signal — the bank’s 30-89 early-delinquency rank among all CRE lenders this quarter, which has predicted ~2.3× forward CRE distress. Per-bank flags are on a plan.

Do the banks lending in Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA have the capacity to refinance its maturing CRE?

Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Rossell, GA ranks 52 of 270 metros counting from the MOST strained, putting it well above the median strain reading of 0.20, and its wall-to-room ratio of 1.16 sits noticeably above that benchmark. The CMBS wall maturing within 24 months is $756.6mm across 63 loans, against a regional/community bank lending room of $653.7mm after deducting $1.68bn in committed construction draws — meaning local banks cannot fully absorb the maturing balance without hitting concentration limits. Before accounting for committed draws, room expands to $1.72bn, pushing the wall-to-room ratio down to 0.44, which suggests the strain is driven largely by prior lending commitments. With a distressed share of 4.8% on a total CMBS balance of $4.53bn, the market shows moderate stress, though this reading is an upper bound — it reflects only CMBS maturities, not the metro's full debt load. Notably, 33 banks qualifying for the room calculation versus 22 excluded suggests the strain is not purely an artifact of lending outside the regional banking footprint, and since explained_by_exclusion is false, the capacity gap appears genuine rather than a data quirk.

The figures behind this answer
CMBS maturing in the window
$756.6mm
… across this many loans
63
Local bank room, before committed draws
$1.72bn
Committed construction draws
$1.68bn
Local bank room, after those draws
$653.7mm
Wall-to-room ratio
1.16
Rank, most strained
52
… out of this many metros ranked
270
… before committed draws
0.44
Population ranked against
CMBS maturing within 24 months against regional/community bank room in this metro
Qualifying local banks
33
… excluded from the calculation
22
Distressed share of this metro's CMBS
4.8%
Total CMBS balance here
$4.53bn
Capacity band
over
Compared against a median wall-to-room ratio of 0.20 across the ranked metros.
1.16 is ABOVE the median of 0.20, so this metro is MORE strained than the typical ranked metro
52 of 270, counting from the MOST strained — a LOWER rank number means MORE strain
{'room_is_a_proxy': 'Room is what regional and community banks could still write before the SR 06-26 concentration line, after deducting construction draws already committed. Deposit footprint is a proxy for lending footprint, not a measurement of it.', 'ratio_is_not_size': 'The most extreme ratios belong to the smallest metros. Read maturing_bal_mm beside the ratio — the map sizes bubbles by the wall, not the strain, for exactly this reason.', 'wall_is_cmbs_only': "The wall is the CMBS balance maturing within 24 months — the maturing debt this platform can see, not the metro's whole maturity load. Every ratio is an upper bound on how much of it local banks would have to absorb.", 'exclusion_artifact': 'A high ratio is as often an exclusion artifact as a credit event. Banks whose deposits do not indicate where they lend (nationals, card and charter banks) are excluded from the room, so a metro served mainly by those reads strained while its credit is simply invisible here. Check banks_qualifying against banks_excluded_here, and explained_by_exclusion.'}
Written from the figures above · CBSA 12060 · capacity_metro · last changed 06 Sep 2026 · Ask your own question →
Apartment-REIT Operating Read — same-store disclosures for this metro · as of 2026-07-30Set against the loan book →
Same-Store NOI
-2.7%
Same-Store Revenue
-0.2%
Occupancy
95.6%
Rent Growth
-0.6%
REITSS NOISS RevenueOccupancyRentAs Of
CPT -2.6% +1.3% 95.5% +0.7% 2026-07-30
EQR -6.2% -2.0% 96.2% -2.6% 2026-04-28
MAA +0.6% 0.0% 95.2% 0.0% 2026-07-29
Same-store operating results disclosed by public apartment REITs (AVB · EQR · ESS · MAA · CPT · UDR) for this market in their quarterly supplements. Directional market context — an operating trend, not a Verstavo score.
On The Ground — recent closures, layoffs & CRE bankruptciesTie these events to loans →
109 local distress events in the past year (9,964 jobs) — store closures, layoffs, and commercial real estate bankruptcies near this metro's collateral.
2026-10-24
LAYOFF
KidsPeace National Centers of Georgia
95 jobs · Bowdon
2026-10-19
LAYOFF
Republic National Distributing Company of Texas, LLC
157 jobs · Atlanta
2026-10-19
LAYOFF
Young's Market Company, LLC
78 jobs · Atlanta
2026-10-19
LAYOFF
Republic National Distributing Company, LLC
321 jobs · Atlanta
2026-10-03
LAYOFF
Essendant
192 jobs · Suwanee
2026-10-01
LAYOFF
Meyn Americas
150 jobs · Ball Ground
2026-09-26
LAYOFF
Wellstar Health System, Inc.
761 jobs · Marietta
2026-09-26
LAYOFF
Home Express Delivery Service, LLC
92 jobs · Lithonia
2026-08-31
LAYOFF
Americold Logistics, LLC
69 jobs · Atlanta
2026-08-29
CLOSURE
Lululemon
Atlanta
2026-08-28
CLOSURE
Republic National
Atlanta
2026-08-28
LAYOFF
Republic National
Atlanta
2026-08-24
CLOSURE
Wish ATL
Atlanta
2026-08-19
CLOSURE
Barnes & Noble
Atlanta
2026-08-19
CLOSURE
Barnes & Noble
Atlanta

What has actually happened on the ground in Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA recently?

In the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA metro, over the trailing 365-day window, the ground truth shows 0 CRE bankruptcies (a state-proxy count, not metro-native), 62 WARN notices affecting 9,964 jobs (a floor, as notices with no headcount still count but contribute 0), and 43 approved store closures (pending or machine-extracted rows excluded). This reflects a modest pace of retail rationalization and layoff activity, though the bankruptcy reading is unavailable at the metro level due to the state-based filing attribution.

The figures behind this answer
Store closures
43
WARN layoff notices
62
Jobs on those notices
9,964
CRE-related bankruptcies
0
Window, in days
365
STATE PROXY — bankruptcy filings carry the filer's state, not the property's location, so this counts CRE-likely filings in the states this metro's collateral sits in. It is not a metro-native count.
affected_employees is nullable — notices that state no headcount are counted but contribute 0 jobs, so this is a floor.
Closures are matched ZIP -> CBSA and only APPROVED rows count (a pending, machine-extracted row is not yet a closure). This mirrors the Metro Pulse page, not the convergence board — the board applies neither filter and counts higher. Layoffs take the same ZIP -> CBSA and review treatment, and a WARN notice counts if it affects >= 10 people or does not state a headcount (a NULL is not 'fewer than 10').
Written from the figures above · CBSA 12060 · geo_events · last changed 06 Sep 2026 · Ask your own question →
What this page can’t do
Everything above is a snapshot — one market, as it stands today, and it’s yours to read. What a snapshot can’t tell you is when it moves: which loan slipped a DSCR band this month, which bank’s early-warning rank crossed into the top quartile, which submarket started turning while the headline number still looked fine. Distress doesn’t announce itself on the day you happen to check.
This page
One metro · one moment · you come looking.
Verstavo
Every metro · every month · it comes looking for you.
Watch this market → Or see 40 years of it first →
CMBS covers the securitized slice of CRE; bank, closure and layoff signals widen the view. “No data” in a zone means we don’t observe it here, not that there is no stress. Employment is BLS (QCEW annual, LAUS monthly) — public data, and the demand leg under all of it.
See the whole picture, not just the pulse.
Metro Pulse is the free, public read. The Verstavo platform goes loan‑by‑loan — stress scores, maturity walls, special‑servicing transfers, bank CRE, and your own portfolio benchmarked against the market.
Get started free → Sign in